Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
4º
3º
36
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
DEV
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 0
ROF
89%
8%
3%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
LAU
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 6
DEV
6%
11%
82%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 4
DEV
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 7
GLE
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 3
KIN
9%
14%
77%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KIN
4 - 3
CZF
92%
6%
2%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ROF
4 - 3
KIN
4%
10%
86%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 3
KIN
65%
17%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |