Detroit City vs Michigan Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
0 - 0
DET
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
DET
5 - 0
IND
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
DET
3 - 0
COL
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
IND
0 - 5
DET
5%
11%
84%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
DET
0 - 0
AAA
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Michigan Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
MSF
2 - 0
TVF
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
MSF
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MSF
1 - 1
KAL
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 0
MSF
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
MSF
0 - 1
DET
20%
19%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |