Desportivo de Nacala vs Ferroviário Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FCC
4 - 1
DES
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
DES
1 - 0
PEM
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
TEX
0 - 0
DES
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DES
3 - 1
EST
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
DES
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
COS
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FER
2 - 3
HCB
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
PEM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TEX
0 - 1
FER
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |