Desportivo Aves vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
POR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
AVE
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
AVE
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 0
SAN
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIZ
1 - 1
UNM
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
SCP
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 2
ACV
58%
24%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
UNM
38%
29%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |