Desportiva Ferroviária vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
TOM
3 - 0
DES
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 0
DES
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
DES
3 - 1
RVV
16%
19%
66%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
DES
40%
24%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
PIN
4%
10%
86%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
RIO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
RIO
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
UBE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 6
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |