Capixaba Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Desportiva Ferroviária vs Porto Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DES
2 - 1
RIO
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
DES
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 2
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
VFC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
NVE
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
POR
74%
17%
10%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
VFC
1 - 4
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
REA
3 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |