Desna Chernihiv vs Stal Alchevsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FCM
0 - 4
DES
32%
27%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DES
0 - 0
FEI
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NAF
0 - 0
DES
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DES
2 - 1
VOL
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ODE
2 - 1
DES
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stal Alchevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
DYN
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
NYV
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
FCM
0 - 1
STA
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PSE
3 - 4
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
STA
0 - 2
LVI
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |