DESK vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DES
3 - 1
OJC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DES
1 - 6
UNA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 0
DES
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DES
1 - 3
MEE
51%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PAP
2 - 4
DES
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GEM
1 - 2
UNA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 3
GEM
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GEM
5 - 2
MEE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ACH
0 - 1
GEM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PAP
2 - 3
GEM
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |