DESK vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 0
DES
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DES
0 - 1
DEV
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GEM
5 - 2
DES
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
EHC
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DON
2 - 4
DES
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
EHC
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
DON
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MEE
0 - 1
DON
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DON
2 - 4
DES
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |