Des Moines Menace vs Minnesota United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
DES
3 - 2
KCB
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
MIB
1 - 3
DES
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
DES
4 - 1
STL
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
SPR
1 - 0
DES
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
REA
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Minnesota United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
MIN
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAR
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 3
MIN
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EDM
3 - 4
MIN
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |