Derthona vs Pinerolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VFC
1 - 1
DER
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
VOG
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SET
2 - 0
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
SES
20%
25%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 2
DER
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pinerolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
PIN
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
FEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 3
PIN
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VOG
2 - 1
PIN
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |