Derthona vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SES
0 - 2
DER
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
DER
1 - 3
NOV
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LAV
0 - 0
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VAO
2 - 1
LAV
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LAV
2 - 4
BOR
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
LAV
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAV
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |