Derthona vs Acqui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VIG
2 - 2
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
DER
3 - 1
CHI
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AST
3 - 0
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
BOR
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ASC
2 - 1
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ACQ
0 - 2
LAV
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
ACQ
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ACQ
1 - 0
ALB
43%
26%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VAO
0 - 1
ACQ
21%
23%
57%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ACQ
2 - 0
BAA
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |