Derry City vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 0
DER
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
DER
3 - 0
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
DUN
20%
23%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
BOH
0 - 0
DER
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
UCD
1 - 2
WAT
35%
27%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
WAT
0 - 1
FIN
69%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
SLR
0 - 0
WAT
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 2
STP
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 0
WAT
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |