Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BOH
2 - 1
DER
35%
27%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
UCD
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
DER
1 - 2
LIM
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
SHR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SLR
1 - 4
STP
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
STP
0 - 2
ATH
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 3
STP
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
STP
6 - 1
FIN
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
STP
3 - 1
BOH
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |