Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
DER
1 - 0
CAO
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
DER
0 - 2
UCD
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
SHE
2 - 0
DER
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
DER
1 - 3
SLR
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
GAL
0 - 2
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
GAL
1 - 2
STP
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
STP
1 - 1
SHR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
DRO
1 - 2
STP
27%
28%
44%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
STP
1 - 0
WAT
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
BOH
0 - 0
STP
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |