Premier League Round 24

Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers analysis

Derry City Shamrock Rovers
72 ELO 66
0.4% Tilt -4.3%
952º General ELO ranking 861º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.1%
Derry City
19.9%
Draw
12.9%
Shamrock Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
Derry City
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.9%
Win probability
Shamrock Rovers
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derry City
+11%
+27%
Shamrock Rovers

ELO progression

Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derry City
Derry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 1996
DER
Derry City
4 - 0
Sligo Rovers
SLR
58%
23%
19%
72 69 3 0
02 Feb. 1996
SHE
Shelbourne
1 - 0
Derry City
DER
52%
25%
23%
72 72 0 0
20 Jan. 1996
CAO
Cork City
0 - 1
Derry City
DER
48%
26%
26%
72 69 3 0
07 Jan. 1996
DER
Derry City
2 - 0
Galway United
GAL
69%
19%
12%
71 57 14 +1
28 Dec. 1995
DUN
Dundalk
2 - 1
Derry City
DER
46%
26%
27%
72 70 2 -1

Matches

Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 1996
STP
St Patrick's
2 - 2
Shamrock Rovers
SHR
73%
17%
10%
66 75 9 0
04 Feb. 1996
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
1 - 0
Drogheda United
DRO
51%
26%
23%
65 63 2 +1
26 Jan. 1996
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
1 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
41%
28%
32%
65 70 5 0
21 Jan. 1996
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
0 - 2
Sligo Rovers
SLR
44%
27%
29%
65 68 3 0
01 Jan. 1996
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
0 - 1
Shelbourne
SHE
42%
28%
30%
66 71 5 -1