Derry City vs Limerick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SHR
6 - 1
DER
50%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
BOH
0 - 1
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
SLR
2 - 1
DER
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
STP
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 0
BRW
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
DUN
8 - 0
LIM
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 1
BOH
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SLR
0 - 1
LIM
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
SHR
2 - 1
LIM
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |