Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
STP
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
BOH
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
STP
0 - 4
DER
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DER
7 - 1
UCD
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 1
BOH
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
UCD
2 - 2
DUN
16%
23%
60%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
DRO
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
SHE
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |