Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 2
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
DER
3 - 0
DRO
48%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LON
0 - 2
DER
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
DRO
1 - 1
DER
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
DER
2 - 4
SHR
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 2
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 4
STP
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 2
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 2
DUN
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 1
DUN
17%
20%
63%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |