Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
WEX
47%
25%
27%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
BRW
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
DRO
1 - 2
DER
30%
25%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
STP
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
CAO
1 - 0
DUN
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 2
WEX
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 0
SHE
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 7
DUN
14%
24%
63%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |