Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SLR
1 - 1
DER
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DER
4 - 0
FIN
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DER
0 - 0
UCD
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
DRO
2 - 0
DER
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
DER
2 - 0
CAO
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SHR
6 - 0
DUN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LON
1 - 2
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SLR
3 - 0
DUN
71%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
UCD
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |