Premier League Round 8

Derry City vs Dundalk analysis

Derry City Dundalk
75 ELO 65
-9.2% Tilt -1.3%
953º General ELO ranking 983º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.4%
Derry City
22.3%
Draw
14.3%
Dundalk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
Derry City
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.3%
Win probability
Dundalk
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derry City
+10%
-9%
Dundalk

ELO progression

Derry City
Dundalk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derry City
Derry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2012
SLR
Sligo Rovers
1 - 1
Derry City
DER
53%
24%
22%
76 78 2 0
09 Apr. 2012
DER
Derry City
4 - 0
Finn Harps
FIN
75%
17%
8%
76 49 27 0
06 Apr. 2012
DER
Derry City
0 - 0
UC Dublin
UCD
69%
20%
11%
76 60 16 0
30 Mar. 2012
DRO
Drogheda United
2 - 0
Derry City
DER
19%
25%
56%
77 57 20 -1
23 Mar. 2012
DER
Derry City
2 - 0
Cork City
CAO
61%
23%
16%
76 67 9 +1

Matches

Dundalk
Dundalk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2012
SHR
Shamrock Rovers
6 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
68%
20%
12%
65 76 11 0
10 Apr. 2012
LON
Longford Town
1 - 2
Dundalk
DUN
30%
24%
46%
65 56 9 0
06 Apr. 2012
DUN
Dundalk
0 - 0
Shelbourne
SHE
44%
26%
30%
65 67 2 0
31 Mar. 2012
SLR
Sligo Rovers
3 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
71%
18%
10%
65 78 13 0
23 Mar. 2012
DUN
Dundalk
2 - 1
UC Dublin
UCD
59%
22%
19%
65 60 5 0