Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
BOH
1 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
DER
1 - 1
UCD
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
DER
1 - 1
BOH
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1996 |
STP
1 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 0
SHR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
SHE
0 - 1
DUN
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
GAL
2 - 1
DUN
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
ATH
0 - 0
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |