Derry City vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
DER
5 - 0
LIM
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SHR
6 - 1
DER
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
BOH
0 - 1
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
SLR
2 - 1
DER
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
BRW
1 - 2
SLR
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
LIM
1 - 0
BRW
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SHR
6 - 0
BRW
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BRW
1 - 2
STP
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
BRW
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |