Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
2º
58
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
DRO
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
SLR
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DER
0 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 4
DER
15%
25%
61%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BOH
0 - 2
SHR
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SLR
0 - 1
BOH
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BOH
2 - 1
UCD
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 1
BOH
8%
15%
78%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
BOH
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |