Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 1
DER
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
DER
2 - 3
DUN
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 2
SHR
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
DER
1 - 0
WEX
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 2
BOH
4%
9%
88%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
BOH
1 - 2
WAT
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AIR
3 - 2
BOH
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
SHR
1 - 0
BOH
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BOH
1 - 1
LON
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |