Derio vs Apurtuarte Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SNT
1 - 1
DER
44%
27%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
CDG
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SDE
2 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
SDU
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SDS
3 - 1
DER
45%
26%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Apurtuarte Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
APU
3 - 2
GAL
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ZET
2 - 0
APU
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
APU
1 - 1
DEU
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
APU
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
APU
3 - 2
GAL
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |