Dergview FC vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DER
2 - 3
PSN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
LIM
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
DER
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 1
INS
33%
25%
43%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
ARD
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
16%
21%
64%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
ARD
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 0
COL
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |