Dergview FC vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dergview FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
BAN
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 1
DER
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DER
3 - 0
LAR
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
DER
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
LCE
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DON
2 - 3
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ARD
5 - 2
LIS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
ARD
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |