Northern Ireland Second Division Round 7

Dergview FC vs Ards FC analysis

Dergview FC Ards FC
52 ELO 47
17.6% Tilt 7.6%
6122º General ELO ranking 2562º
35º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
62.9%
Dergview FC
20.1%
Draw
17.1%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
Dergview FC
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.1%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-52%
+11%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2011
LAR
Larne
5 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
30%
25%
45%
52 41 11 0
20 Sep. 2011
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
57%
21%
22%
51 48 3 +1
17 Sep. 2011
DER
Dergview FC
5 - 1
Banbridge Town
BAN
75%
15%
10%
51 39 12 0
03 Sep. 2011
BAN
Bangor
1 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
48%
24%
28%
51 50 1 0
20 Aug. 2011
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Institute
INS
59%
21%
20%
50 48 2 +1

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2011
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 5
Ballinamallard United
BAL
50%
24%
27%
50 51 1 0
20 Sep. 2011
CLI
Cliftonville
3 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
73%
17%
10%
50 64 14 0
17 Sep. 2011
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 2
Limavady
LIM
48%
25%
28%
51 53 2 -1
03 Sep. 2011
BAN
Banbridge Town
2 - 3
Ards FC
ARD
34%
25%
41%
51 40 11 0
20 Aug. 2011
ARD
Ards FC
5 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
28%
24%
48%
49 61 12 +2