Dereham Town vs VCD Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
DER
2 - 2
TIL
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NEE
3 - 2
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 0
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STI
4 - 1
DER
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
SOH
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
AYL
2 - 1
VCD
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VCD
2 - 2
AYL
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VCD
3 - 2
MAL
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 2
VCD
26%
23%
52%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEE
0 - 0
VCD
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |