Derby vs Académica Porto Novo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 4
DER
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
SPR
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
PAU
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 1
DER
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Académica Porto Novo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 0
ACA
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CSM
3 - 0
ACA
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
CSM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ACA
5 - 0
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 0
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |