Derby County Sub 23 vs Southampton Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 2
DER
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LEI
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
4 - 1
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LIV
33%
23%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MCI
3 - 3
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
BLA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 1
SOU
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 2
WHU
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 4
CHE
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |