Premier League Sub 18 Round 1

Derby County U18 vs Wolves U18 analysis

Derby County U18 Wolves U18
30 ELO 20
0.5% Tilt 4.9%
9334º General ELO ranking 10941º
426º Country ELO ranking 577º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Derby County U18
14.8%
Draw
9.4%
Wolves U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
Derby County U18
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.4%
Win probability
Wolves U18
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derby County U18
-38%
-53%
Wolves U18

ELO progression

Derby County U18
Wolves U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derby County U18
Derby County U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2014
DER
Derby County U18
3 - 0
Brentford U18
BRE
57%
21%
22%
29 26 3 0
16 Apr. 2014
DER
Derby County U18
2 - 1
Coventry City U18
COV
52%
22%
27%
28 27 1 +1
12 Apr. 2014
DER
Derby County U18
1 - 1
Queens Park Rangers U18
QPR
44%
23%
32%
30 33 3 -2
05 Apr. 2014
CAR
Cardiff City U18
3 - 3
Derby County U18
DER
57%
21%
23%
30 34 4 0
01 Apr. 2014
CRE
Crewe Alexandra U18
5 - 0
Derby County U18
DER
54%
21%
25%
31 33 2 -1