Derby County Sub 18 vs Newcastle Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EVE
6 - 1
DER
68%
16%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DER
3 - 2
MID
29%
21%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WBA
2 - 1
DER
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
3 - 2
DER
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DER
4 - 0
MAN
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 1
WOL
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 1
NEW
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
BLA
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +3 |