Derby County Sub 18 vs Liverpool Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
71%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
4 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
MID
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NOT
0 - 1
DER
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEE
7 - 0
DER
31%
22%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Liverpool Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LIV
5 - 5
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
STO
0 - 2
LIV
12%
16%
72%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 3
LIV
24%
20%
57%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
WOL
68%
18%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
4 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |