Derby County Sub 18 vs Liverpool Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
50.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
MCI
7 - 0
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
DER
5 - 1
BLA
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 0
DER
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 1
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DER
0 - 4
MAN
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MID
1 - 4
LIV
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
4 - 3
LIV
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
4 - 1
BUR
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
5 - 0
LEE
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
WOL
2 - 1
LIV
24%
21%
56%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |