Derby County U18 vs Bolton Wanderers U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STO
3 - 3
DER
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DER
4 - 3
MID
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
5 - 2
DER
9%
16%
76%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
MCI
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
WOL
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 3
EVE
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BOL
0 - 1
STO
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |