Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SHW
2 - 1
DER
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
4 - 0
DER
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 2
DER
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
DER
4 - 2
FUL
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 1
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 0
BBU
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
LEE
0 - 1
WOL
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 2
BHA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 1
WOL
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |