Derby County vs Wimbledon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
DER
2 - 2
LUT
81%
13%
7%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SHW
0 - 0
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
LUT
1 - 0
DER
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1996 |
BBU
1 - 2
DER
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wimbledon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
OPA
1 - 1
WIM
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
WIM
3 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
WIM
1 - 0
OPA
82%
13%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
WHU
0 - 2
WIM
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
WIM
4 - 0
EVE
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |