Derby County vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1900 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1900 |
SHW
2 - 1
DER
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1900 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1900 |
DER
4 - 0
WBA
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1900 |
STO
0 - 1
DER
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1900 |
MAC
1 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1900 |
SUN
1 - 0
SHW
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1900 |
SUN
2 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1900 |
WBA
1 - 0
SUN
28%
26%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1900 |
SUN
6 - 1
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |