Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FUL
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DER
2 - 4
REA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
LEE
1 - 2
DER
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DER
2 - 0
SHW
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 2
ASV
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NTT
4 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 0
SHE
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
QPR
2 - 1
WOL
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 1
QPR
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |