Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
BBU
5 - 1
DER
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 0
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
DER
2 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
CHL
5 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
OLD
0 - 3
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
SWA
0 - 0
OLD
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
NEW
3 - 0
OLD
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
OLD
1 - 0
BHA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
CAM
1 - 4
OLD
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |