Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
WHU
3 - 1
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
DER
1 - 1
WAT
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
PNE
0 - 3
DER
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
DER
2 - 0
WHU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
OLD
2 - 2
SWA
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1980 |
NOT
0 - 2
OLD
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
OLD
0 - 0
LUT
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
BRI
1 - 1
OLD
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
OLD
0 - 1
LEY
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |