Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 2
DER
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DER
3 - 1
LEE
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LEI
4 - 1
DER
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
BIR
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HUL
2 - 0
HUR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
HUL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NTT
1 - 2
HUL
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 0
CRY
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |