Derby County vs Huddersfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BRI
3 - 2
DER
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SWA
2 - 3
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
DER
4 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
DER
4 - 0
STO
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
LUT
3 - 2
DER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Huddersfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
HUR
0 - 3
CAR
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HUR
2 - 0
QPR
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FUL
3 - 2
HUR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
HUL
1 - 2
HUR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HUR
0 - 0
BRE
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |