Derby County vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
DER
0 - 0
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
GRI
3 - 2
DER
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
DER
2 - 4
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
ROT
0 - 2
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
DER
1 - 0
DON
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
FUL
2 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
BRI
0 - 5
FUL
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
FUL
3 - 4
STO
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
GRI
3 - 1
FUL
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
FUL
2 - 1
HUR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |