Derby County vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
DER
5 - 0
CAM
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
DER
0 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
CAM
2 - 1
DER
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
QPR
0 - 1
DER
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
LEI
2 - 3
CRY
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
CRY
2 - 1
EVE
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
CRY
1 - 0
NTT
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
CRY
1 - 2
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 1
CRY
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |