Championship Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Derby County vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
BHA
1 - 2
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LEE
1 - 1
DER
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DER
4 - 2
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
DON
0 - 2
DER
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
BHA
1 - 2
DER
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NTT
1 - 2
BHA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BHA
2 - 0
YEO
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BHA
1 - 1
BPO
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 1
BHA
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |