Derby County vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
DER
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
BBU
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
DER
0 - 3
LIV
16%
22%
63%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
WIG
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 1
REA
46%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
WOL
3 - 1
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
5 - 0
PNE
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |